[EXPERIMENT RESULTS] Fiji Fuel Dec 18 - Currency Testing
Lean Phase: Revenue Streams, Cost Structure, Solution
Assumption: The customers in Fiji are willing to pay more than $60 FJD for the Buka Stove 5.0
Results:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xP4AXUYEmsREmNRIo0dWwuXEE5vVGtnMCecgjGyF6YE/edit#gid=0
During the experiment, a total of 30 responses were recorded, 25 of which were interacted with in Sigatoka town, 4 in Suva and 1 in Naroro Village. Those in Sigatoka town included residents of Sigatoka as well as some villagers visiting the markets.
While only a 43% of respondents expressed interest in purchasing the stove, those that didn’t have an interest in the stove were still able to give a valid opinion on the value of it and commented it may be useful for others. Common reasons as to why a respondent wouldn’t buy the stove included:
- No need for a firewood stove as they already use kerosene and gas
- Too expensive
- Perception about cheap/weak material due to the way it sounds
- Perception about cheap/weak material due to thinness
Common suggestions for improvement included:
- Ash tray
- Tray at the feed hole to hold longer pieces of firewood
- Change the material
- Larger size of body, hole at the top
Among the responses, it was found that 83% thought $60 was still a fair price for the stove while only 43% thought $80 was fair. Some people stated a price would be fair but only with a condition, such as bigger size or different material, and these were not counted as a positive for the data.
On average, respondents valued the stove at $60 but the value to respondents who wanted the stove was $67.65 indicating those that actually had a use for the stove would value it higher. However, we also had quite a large range in perceived value from $30-150. In reference to our Success Metric, 43% were willing to pay more for the Buka Stove 5.0 which is just over the Green Light of 40%.
Validated Learning:
In conclusion, our assumption that customers in Fiji are willing to pay more than $60 for the Buka 5.0 was validated. As identified in the results above, the stove seems to be moving towards a successful product as 43% is slightly over the Green light of 40% but has definite room for optimisation to increase the appeal of the stove across all customer segments. Valuable feedback was recorded that would give a direction for iteration in future prototypes of the stove but since this design is completely different from the previous Buka 1.0-4.0, the amount of positive response indicates we are moving in a positive direction.
Though there is lack of data from direct village visits, the Buka Stove 5.0 is not intended to target that customer segment at the moment (which is the purpose of the 4.0). Due to the inherent cost increase due to more advanced manufacturing techniques and raw materials, it is inevitable that the Buka Stove 5.0 will have a higher price attached to it. As such, the generally more affluent townsfolk were mainly targeted for this study.
Next Move:
Despite the Green Light result on the success metric ,the December Fuel Team decided we will not be moving forward with distribution and sale but instead continue with optimisation. Taking into consideration the criticisms and suggestions received, the target for Green light seemed to be set too low and more work should be conducted in the prototyping stage to improve the design of the Buka stove 5.0. When an improved design is completed, another Currency Test is recommended using a modified success metric of perhaps 45% or 50% for the Green Light.
Haziq Ahmed 2 months ago
Status label added: Experiment Results
Reply 0
Alexander Teicher 2 months ago
Interesting results, have you guys had a chance to look through the numbers yet and see what kind of revenue and gross profit you could get by pricing higher with an obviously lower sales conversion. For example is selling at $70 with an assumed conversion rate of 63% (between $60 and $80). Optimising this might lead to a new pricing for the 5.0.
Balancing this with the ethics of serving as many people as possible while also making sustainable profit for minimal effort is not easy.
Interested to see what the iterations look like leading into Jan and whether these can add value as well as improving function.
Keep up the good work!
Users tagged:
Reply 1
Lucy Preiss 2 months ago
This is super promising, and good to know that a decent amount of people would be willing to pay a higher amount. Having that bit of wiggle room considering the costs to produce the stove is fantastic. What is the plan for the further iterations? How long is this planning on taking and what are the key things you have to change? Does spending extra on creating a tray at the feed hole or an ashtray justify only being able to sell the stove for an extra few dollars? How do these changes tie into the changes recommended by Ryan from an engineering point of view? Keen to see these babies at their optimal.
Reply 1